The speculation surrounding the release of the Epstein files and the potential list of celebrities it would entail has reached a fever pitch, and prediction market Polymarket is at the center of it all.
As of now, users are betting on which high-profile figures might be named in the next batch of Epstein-related documents set to be made public by June 30, 2025. With over $1.2 million in volume, the market is reflecting strong opinions and some surprising names are leading the pack.
Who’s Most Likely to Be Named?
At the top of the list are some of the most frequently discussed figures in connection to Jeffrey Epstein. Here’s how the betting odds currently stack up:
- Bill Gates – 55%
The Microsoft co-founder and billionaire philanthropist tops the list, with over $43,000 in market volume betting on his name being in the files. - Ehud Barak – 54%
The former Israeli Prime Minister has long been speculated to have ties to Epstein, and Polymarket bettors believe there’s a strong chance he will be named. - Prince Andrew – 52%
The British royal has already been deeply entangled in the Epstein scandal, so it’s no shock that bettors are still putting him high on the list. - Bill Clinton – 44%
With multiple flight records linking him to Epstein’s infamous private jet, Clinton has been at the center of speculation for years. - Alan Dershowitz – 42%
The high-profile lawyer, who once defended Epstein, has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing, but Polymarket bettors still see a significant chance of his name surfacing again. - Leonardo DiCaprio – 41%
A more surprising entry, DiCaprio’s inclusion on the list has raised eyebrows, though no direct evidence has linked him to Epstein. - Stephen Hawking – 40%
The late physicist had visited Epstein’s private island as part of a science retreat, but there is no known involvement beyond that.
Jay-Z’s Odds: Is He Really a Contender?
One of the most shocking names appearing on the list is Jay-Z, the legendary rapper and business mogul, who currently (at the time of writing) sits at 29% odds of being named in the files. His position on the list places him above figures like Alec Baldwin (27%), Justin Trudeau (27%), and Hillary Clinton (19%).
There has been no widely known public connection between Jay-Z and Epstein, so his presence on the betting markets likely reflects general speculation rather than concrete evidence. However, the fact that he ranks higher than some traditionally suspected figures suggests that internet rumors and conspiracy theories may be fueling part of the betting action.
How Reliable Are These Odds?
It’s important to note that Polymarket odds do not reflect actual evidence or legal findings, only the beliefs of those placing bets. Market sentiment can be influenced by media speculation, political bias, or social media trends. Some names, such as Bill Gates and Prince Andrew, have direct historical links to Epstein, while others, like Jay-Z and Leonardo DiCaprio, appear to be included based more on speculation.
What’s Next?
The Epstein files have already implicated several high-profile celebrities, and with more documents expected to be unsealed by mid-2025, public interest is at an all-time high. Whether any of these market predictions prove accurate remains to be seen, but one thing is clear speculation isn’t slowing down anytime soon.
As the release date for the files approaches, expect continued volatility in Polymarket odds as more information comes to light. Until then, the betting continues.
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